Kurzweil's predictions

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[edit] The Future According to Ray Kurzweil

  • 2010: Computers become invisible.
  • 2020: $1,000 buys a computer working at 10 quadrillion, or 10^16, calculations per second.
  • 2025: Computer are able to simulate the entire human brain.
  • 2030: Nonbiological intelligence matches human intelligence in range and subtlety; $1,000 buys a computer 1,000 times more powerful than the human brain.
  • 2045: The point of "singularity" is reached, when technical progress is so fast that unenhanced human intelligence can't follow it. One can no longer distinguish between our biology and our technology.
  • 22nd century: Our intelligence, biological and nonbiological combined, saturates the matter and energy around us and begins to spread throughout the universe.

[edit] Reference

  • ComputerWorld, January 9, 2006 [1]
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